08 February 2010


Last month, my Slim pointed out the possibilities of a "Yem-Som" rather like Af-Pak. It looks like we may need to make room for Kenya on that train.

Increasingly, it's looking like Shabaab is the most likely winner in this on-going horror story, but it strikes me as pretty hubristic to attack Kenya as well. The only way I could see Shabaab effectively attacking Kenya would be through terrorism emanating from "Little Mogadishu," where al-Shabaab has strong ties and support. Any organized attack on Kenya would be quickly squashed, either by the actual Kenyan military or by Kenya's many, many allies.

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